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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Mainz
S S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
36%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,9
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
19 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 12. · Ein Frankfurt 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 10 4 1 +36 34
2 RB Leipzig 15 8 4 3 +9 28
3 Union Berlin 14 8 3 3 +7 27
4 Freiburg 14 8 3 3 +5 27
5 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 2 4 +8 26
6 Dortmund 15 8 1 6 +4 25
7 Wolfsburg 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 M'gladbach 15 6 4 5 +4 22
9 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 -2 21
10 Hoffenheim 15 5 3 7 +0 18
11 Leverkusen 15 5 3 7 -1 18
12 Mainz 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 FC Koln 15 4 5 6 -8 17
14 Augsburg 15 4 3 8 -8 15
15 Hertha 15 3 5 7 -3 14
16 Stuttgart 15 3 5 7 -9 14
17 Bochum 15 4 1 10 -22 13
18 Schalke 04 15 2 3 10 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
38′
🟨 Tuta
1–0 J. Burkardt
K. Onisiwo
40′
Stefan Bell 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
ℹ️ Randal Kolo Muani
VAR: Penalty cancelled
46′
🔁 H. Smolčić
↦ K. Jakić
Aarón Martín 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 S. Rode
↦ J. Lindstrøm
59′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ A. Knauff
67′
R. Kolo Muani 1–1
M. Götze
D. da Costa 🔁
↦ S. Widmer
68′
A. Barkok 🔁
↦ J. Burkardt
73′
75′
🟨 Randal Kolo Muani
Lee Jae-Sung 🔁
↦ A. Stach
84′
A. Caci 🔁
↦ Aarón Martín
84′
M. Ingvartsen 🔁
↦ K. Onisiwo
84′
90′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ S. Rode
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mainz

3-4-2-1
27 R. Zentner G
16 S. Bell D
42 A. Hack D
20 E. Fernandes D
30 S. Widmer M
8 L. Barreiro M
31 D. Kohr M
3 Aarón Martín M
6 A. Stach F
29 J. Burkardt F
9 K. Onisiwo F
Bench (9)
21 D. da Costa
4 A. Barkok
7 Lee Jae-Sung
19 A. Caci
11 M. Ingvartsen
1 F. Dahmen
37 D. Burgzorg
10 A. Fulgini
17 N. Tauer

Coach: B. Svensson

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
6 K. Jakić D
2 E. Ndicka D
26 E. Ebimbe M
15 D. Kamada M
8 D. Sow M
36 A. Knauff M
29 J. Lindstrøm F
27 M. Götze F
9 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
5 H. Smolčić
17 S. Rode
33 L. Pellegrini
21 L. Alario
28 M. Wenig
19 R. Borré
18 A. Touré
11 F. Alidou
40 D. Ramaj

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
U ✓
3,61
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.