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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hibernian
U U T S S
0–1
Full-time
Rangers
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 73%
67%
78%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,38 xG 0,47
49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · Rangers 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 9 8 1 0 +15 +0.8 25
2 Celtic 9 5 2 2 +4 +2.5 17
3 Hibernian 9 3 5 1 +5 +1.1 14
4 Dundee United 9 3 4 2 +3 -1.0 13
5 Rangers 9 2 6 1 +1 -0.9 12
6 Falkirk 9 3 3 3 -3 -0.7 12
7 Motherwell 9 2 5 2 +1 +1.8 11
8 Kilmarnock 9 2 4 3 -2 -0.1 10
9 St Mirren 9 2 3 4 -4 -1.5 9
10 Dundee 10 2 3 5 -6 -2.0 9
11 Aberdeen 9 2 1 6 -5 -0.6 7
12 Livingston 10 1 3 6 -9 +0.6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Rangers
5′
⚽ Danilo Pereira 0–1
Chermiti
Christopher Cadden 🟨
10′
M. Chaiwa 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
23′
30′
🟨 Jayden Meghoma
Grant Hanley 🟨
37′
41′
🟨 Derek Cornelius
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Tavernier
↦ J. Meghoma
46′
🔁 D. Gassama
↦ Danilo Pereira
55′
🟨 Connor Barron
T. Youan 🔁
↦ K. Bowie
64′
M. Boyle 🔁
↦ T. Klidje
64′
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ D. Barlaser
64′
65′
🔁 T. Aasgaard
↦ M. Moore
77′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ Chermiti
J. Campbell 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
89′
91′
🔁 E. Fernandez
↦ D. Cornelius
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-1-4-2
1 R. Sallinger G
33 R. Bushiri D
4 G. Hanley D
15 J. Iredale D
22 D. Barlaser M
12 C. Cadden M
20 J. Mulligan M
17 J. McGrath M
19 N. Cadden M
9 K. Bowie F
18 T. Klidje F
Bench (9)
13 J. Smith
7 T. Youan
10 M. Boyle
14 M. Chaiwa
21 J. Obita
23 J. Hoilett
24 Z. Mitchell
27 K. Megwa
32 J. Campbell

Coach: David Peter Gray

Rangers

3-4-2-1
1 J. Butland G
24 N. Djiga D
5 J. Souttar D
13 D. Cornelius D
3 M. Aarons M
8 C. Barron M
43 N. Raskin M
30 J. Meghoma M
99 Danilo Pereira F
47 M. Moore F
9 Chermiti F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
37 E. Fernandez
2 J. Tavernier
52 F. Curtis
10 M. Diomande
6 J. Rothwell
23 D. Gassama
11 T. Aasgaard
28 B. Miovski

Coach: Russell Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U
3,56
B ✓
2,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.