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Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Ein Frankfurt
S S U T T
5–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
3,6
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
20 Shots 5
11 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 8. · Leverkusen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Hoffenheim 10 5 2 3 +7 17
4 Bayern Munich 9 4 4 1 +17 16
5 Dortmund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Werder Bremen 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 M'gladbach 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 FC Koln 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Augsburg 9 4 1 4 -4 13
11 RB Leipzig 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Mainz 9 3 3 3 -4 12
13 Wolfsburg 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Hertha 9 1 5 3 -2 8
15 Leverkusen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
16 Schalke 04 10 1 3 6 -14 6
17 Stuttgart 9 0 5 4 -5 5
18 Bochum 9 1 1 7 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
11′
🟨 Robert Andrich
42′
🟨 Piero Hincapié
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ Paulinho
46′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ C. Aránguiz
47′
🟨 Edmond Tapsoba
1–0 D. Kamada
50′
56′
P. Hincapié 1–1
K. Demirbay
2–1 R. Kolo Muani
C. Lenz
58′
3–1 J. Lindstrøm
65′
Randal Kolo Muani ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
71′
71′
🟨 Piero Hincapié
71′
🟥 Piero Hincapié
4–1 D. Kamada
72′
73′
🔁 O. Kossounou
↦ M. Diaby
S. Rode 🔁
↦ D. Sow
76′
F. Alidou 🔁
↦ E. Ebimbe
77′
R. Borré 🔁
↦ J. Lindstrøm
77′
L. Alario 🔁
↦ R. Kolo Muani
80′
80′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ M. Bakker
80′
🔁 A. Hložek
↦ P. Schick
5–1 L. Alario
R. Borré
86′
M. Wenig 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
87′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
6 K. Jakić D
2 E. Ndicka D
26 E. Ebimbe M
15 D. Kamada M
8 D. Sow M
25 C. Lenz M
29 J. Lindstrøm F
27 M. Götze F
9 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
17 S. Rode
11 F. Alidou
19 R. Borré
21 L. Alario
28 M. Wenig
31 J. Grahl
5 H. Smolčić
40 D. Ramaj
22 T. Chandler

Coach: O. Glasner

Leverkusen

3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
8 R. Andrich M
20 C. Aránguiz M
5 M. Bakker M
19 M. Diaby F
14 P. Schick F
7 Paulinho F
Bench (9)
11 N. Amiri
10 K. Demirbay
6 O. Kossounou
22 D. Sinkgraven
23 A. Hložek
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
21 A. Adli
29 Z. Sertdemir
40 A. Lunev

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
3,64
B
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.