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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Canelas 2010

S S

1–3

Full-time

Guimaraes

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Canelas 2010 Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

0,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
10	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Sertanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Canelas 2010	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
29	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
65	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
66	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
125	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
126	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
127	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
128	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
129	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
130	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
131	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
132	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
133	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
134	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
135	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
136	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
11	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
72	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
39	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
82	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
84	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Canelas 2010 Guimaraes

Kibe 🟨

13′

Mozino 🟨

14′

B. Costa 🟨

19′

F. Sousa 🟥

22′

23′

⚽ André André 0–1

27′

⚽ M. Johnston 0–2

40′

⚽ M. Johnston 0–3

44′

🟨 A. Freitas

Half-time 0–3

46′

🟨 M. Tounkara

46′

🔁 Antoñín Cortés

↦ Nélson Luz

46′

🔁 N. Janvier

↦ Afonso de Freitas

46′

🔁 Hélder Sá

↦ André André

1–3 Samu ⚽

48′

60′

🔁 Jota Silva

↦ Zé Carlos

63′

🟨 Jota

Diogo Firmino 🔁

↦ Gustavo Mendonça

66′

Zézinho 🔁

↦ Bruno

72′

73′

🟨 Helder Sa

77′

🔁 Matheus Índio

↦ M. Johnston

83′

🟨 Safira

Fábio Rola 🔁

↦ Samu

87′

Gabriel Pajé 🔁

↦ Eduardo Souza

87′

Francisco Caetano 🔁

↦ Vítor Bastos

87′

93′

🟨 M. Salgueiro

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Canelas 2010

Raphael Mello

Vítor Bastos

Agostinho Carvalho

Gonçalo Lixa

Bruno

Samu

Gustavo Mendonça

Eduardo Souza

M. Touré

Francisco Sousa

Jefferson

Bench (9)

Diogo Firmino

Zézinho

Fábio Rola

Gabriel Pajé

Francisco Caetano

Bosingwa

João Matos

Antônio Carlos

Vitinho

Coach: Paulo Silva

Guimaraes

Celton Biai

M. Villanueva

Afonso de Freitas

M. Tounkara

André André

M. Johnston

Nélson Luz

Dani Silva

I. Bamba

Zé Carlos

Alisson Safira

Bench (9)

Antoñín Cortés

N. Janvier

Hélder Sá

Jota Silva

Matheus Índio

Bruno Varela

Tiago Silva

Anderson Silva

Gonçalo Nogueira

Coach: João Aroso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

11. Sep TP 4 years ago

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

31,3 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Canelas 2010

Guimaraes

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee