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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Marco Cruz

Sanjoanense

S S

3–2

Full-time

CF Os Belenenses

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sanjoanense CF Os Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+2,0

This season — Taça de Portugal · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sanjoanense 10. · CF Os Belenenses 38. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
10	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Sertanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Canelas 2010	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
29	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
65	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
66	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
125	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
126	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
127	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
128	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
129	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
130	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
131	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
132	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
133	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
134	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
135	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
136	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
11	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
72	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
39	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
82	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
84	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sanjoanense CF Os Belenenses

🟨

5′

12′

🟨

17′

🟨

41′

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 Hélio Cruz

↦ Duarte Valente

49′

⚽ Pedro Martelo 0–1

🟨

51′

🟨

56′

🟨

59′

🔁 Wagner Pina

↦ Xavi Fernandes

Joel Silva 🔁

↦ Pedro Pinho

62′

A. Issoko 🔁

↦ Pedro Araújo

76′

David Rebelo 🔁

↦ Marcos

76′

77′

🔁 Diogo David

↦ Pedro Martelo

🟨

81′

82′

🟨

1–1 Nuno Barbosa ⚽

82′

A. Benedict 🔁

↦ Nuno Barbosa

90′

2–1 A. Benedict ⚽

95′

97′

🔁 João Costa

↦ Pipo Ferreira

103′

🔁 Romário Carvalho

↦ Afonso Simão

103′

⚽ Clé 2–2

F. Manga 🔁

↦ Rúben Alves

106′

Mário Borges 🔁

↦ Rui Pedro

106′

3–2 Joel Silva ⚽

112′

🟨

121′

🟨

121′

🟨

121′

🟨

Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sanjoanense

Gabriel Souza

Danrlei

Pedro Araújo

Kiko Pereira

Rui Pedro

Edgar Almeida

Jorge Pereira

Pedro Pinho

Rúben Alves

Nuno Barbosa

Marcos

Bench (9)

Joel Silva

A. Issoko

David Rebelo

A. Benedict

F. Manga

Mário Borges

André Duarte

Kevin Lopez

N. Perez

Coach: Tiago Ribeiro

CF Os Belenenses

Daniel Azevedo

Fred Martins

João Sousa

Afonso Simão

Pipo Ferreira

Gonçalo Maria

Flavinho

Xavi Fernandes

Duarte Valente

Pedro Martelo

Clé

Bench (9)

Hélio Cruz

Wagner Pina

Diogo David

João Costa

Romário Carvalho

David Grilo

Tiago Lopes

Mauro Antunes

Tiago Moninhas

Coach: Bruno Dias

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

1. Oct TP 3 years ago

11. Sep TP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Sanjoanense

CF Os Belenenses

Odds comparison

Recent matches