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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Xamax
T T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Luzern
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Xamax Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
9%
36%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
64%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
20 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Xamax 9. · Luzern 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 11 8 2 1 +18 26
2 Young Boys 11 7 4 0 +16 25
3 St. Gallen 11 6 2 3 +6 20
4 Sion 11 5 1 5 -1 16
5 Luzern 11 4 3 4 +0 15
6 Zurich 11 3 3 5 -14 12
7 Servette 11 2 5 4 -1 11
8 Lugano 11 2 4 5 -1 10
9 Xamax 11 1 5 5 -9 8
10 Thun 11 1 3 7 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Sep -19 Luzern – Xamax 1–0

Match report

Xamax Luzern
1–0 G. Karlen ⚽
M. Haile-Selassie
11′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 D. Males
↦ B. Eleke
T. Sulejmanov 🔁
↦ G. Karlen
67′
70′
🔁 Ryder Matos
↦ F. Margiotta
71′
🟨 Simon Grether
74′
🟨 Ryder Matos
78′
🟨 Ibrahima Ndiaye
2–0 M. Ošs ⚽
M. Haile-Selassie
80′
P. Di Nardo 🔁
↦ S. Ramizi
84′
86′
🔁 S. Demhasaj
↦ P. Schürpf
L. Mulaj 🔁
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Xamax

3-4-1-2
30 L. Walthert G
3 J. Kamber M
4 Andre Luis D
25 M. Ošs D
27 A. Xhemajli D
16 L. Seydoux M
7 T. Corbaz M
8 S. Ramizi M
19 M. Haile-Selassie F
14 R. Nuzzolo F
11 G. Karlen F
Bench (7)
17 T. Sulejmanov
6 P. Di Nardo
28 L. Mulaj
32 M. Minder
23 M. Gomes
88 F. Mveng
29 N. Sylvestre

Coach: J. Magnin

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
3 L. Ćirković D
17 S. Grether M
2 O. Kakabadze D
5 Lucão D
34 S. Sidler D
42 I. Voca M
11 P. Schürpf M
9 F. Margiotta F
10 B. Eleke F
7 I. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
29 D. Males
77 Ryder Matos
20 S. Demhasaj
31 L. Emini
25 D. Mistrafovic
1 D. Zibung
28 E. Tia

Coach: T. Häberli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.