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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Gent
U S T T S
3–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 11. · Cercle Brugge 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 7 5 0 2 +11 15
2 Club Brugge 6 4 2 0 +12 14
3 Genk 7 4 1 2 +6 13
4 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
5 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +5 12
6 Charleroi 6 3 2 1 +7 11
7 Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
9 Oostende 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Kortrijk 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Gent 5 2 1 2 +5 7
12 Waregem 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 St Truiden 7 2 1 4 -7 7
14 Anderlecht 7 1 3 3 -3 6
15 Cercle Brugge 6 2 0 4 -6 6
16 Eupen 8 0 3 5 -14 3
17 Waasland-Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1
18 Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Cercle Brugge
1–0 L. Depoitre ⚽
J. David
11′
15′
⚽ S. Peeters 1–1
A. Gory
2–1 J. David ⚽
L. Depoitre
24′
3–1 J. David ⚽
A. Castro-Montes
27′
30′
🟨 Stef Peeters
Milad Mohammadi 🟨
36′
45′
🟨 Rominigue Kouamé
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 G. Donsah
↦ K. Hazard
53′
🟨 Idriss Saadi
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ S. Kums
66′
66′
🔁 L. Foster
↦ I. Saadi
Y. Kubo 🔁
↦ G. Kvilitaia
70′
78′
🟨 Corentin Fiore
79′
🔁 W. Balikwisha
↦ A. Gory
B. Dejaegere 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
86′
92′
⚽ S. Peeters 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-4-2
1 T. Kaminski G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
13 G. Kvilitaia F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
11 J. Dompé
31 Y. Kubo
19 B. Dejaegere
9 R. Bezus
26 C. Coosemans
76 T. Derijck
33 L. Verstraete

Coach: J. Thorup

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
40 L. Badiashile G
5 N. Ueda D
24 C. Fiore D
22 K. Dabila D
41 G. Biancone D
8 S. Peeters M
18 L. Coulibaly M
19 K. N'Guessan M
9 I. Saadi F
7 K. Hazard F
28 A. Gory M
Bench (7)
30 G. Donsah
13 L. Foster
23 W. Balikwisha
21 S. Omeonga
6 A. Deuro
1 G. Hubert
17 Jordi Mboula

Coach: F. Mercadal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,29
U
5,75
B
8,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
2,96
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.