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Copa del Rey

Navalcarnero

T T

2–1

Full-time

Mérida AD

U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Navalcarnero Mérida AD

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
32	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
34	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
35	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
41	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
44	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
56	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
63	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
21	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Navalcarnero Mérida AD

1–0 I. Perera ⚽

A. Altube Suarez

26′

34′

⚽ A. Garcia 1–1

M. Rivas

Half-time 1–1

A. Aunon 🔁

↦ M. G. Martinez

49′

2–1 A. Altube Suarez ⚽

A. Aunon

55′

D. Corceovei 🔁

↦ A. Altube Suarez

58′

Juanmi 🔁

↦ Rober

58′

65′

🔁 B. Dibrani

↦ M. Rivas

65′

🔁 M. Capitas

↦ R. Beneit

69′

🔁 Chiqui

↦ A. Garcia

71′

🟨 M. Solar

J. Dias 🔁

↦ M. Jimenez

78′

Peque 🔁

↦ I. Perera

78′

84′

🔁 J. Areso

↦ R. Jacobo

84′

🔁 C. Doncel

↦ M. Solar

D. Corceovei 🟨

91′

🟨 J. Areso

94′

🟨 J. Dominguez

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Navalcarnero

1 A. Calado

4 M. G. Martinez

6 R. de Souza

5 A. Espinola

7 Rober

15 J. Cruz

22 J. Villar

21 I. Perera

14 J. Bueno

11 M. Jimenez

24 A. Altube Suarez

Bench (11)

13 D. Simon

12 W. Chahid

27 D. Corceovei

23 J. Dias

3 Juanmi

35 Javi Diz

34 N. Asangono

8 I. Quivira

10 Peque

19 A. Aunon

30 M. Moraga

Coach: Manuel Gonzalez

Mérida AD

13 P. Cacharron

20 R. Jacobo

5 J. Dominguez

4 L. Pareja

23 E. Verges

12 R. Gomes

21 R. Beneit

8 M. Solar

22 M. Rivas

A. Garcia

24 R. Pereira

Bench (11)

1 A. Csenterics

26 A. Gil

27 S. Garcia

15 G. Martinez

3 J. Lancho

17 V. Herranz Corral

18 B. Dibrani

11 J. Areso

7 Chiqui

10 C. Doncel

16 M. Capitas

Coach: Francisco Beltran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

1. Nov CDR 2 years ago

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Navalcarnero

Mérida AD

Odds comparison

Recent matches