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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Rakow
S T S S T
4–0
Full-time
Legia
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 60%
57%
63%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
38%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 7. · Legia 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 9 5 2 2 +10 17
2 Pogon Szczecin 9 5 2 2 +5 17
3 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
4 Radomiak Radom 9 4 2 3 +1 14
5 Cracovia 9 4 1 4 +3 13
6 Stal Mielec 8 4 1 3 +2 13
7 Rakow 7 4 1 2 +2 13
8 Widzew Lodz 9 4 1 4 +1 13
9 Slask Wroclaw 9 3 3 3 -4 12
10 Lech Poznan 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Korona Kielce 9 3 2 4 +0 11
12 Warta Poznan 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Gornik Zabrze 8 2 4 2 +0 10
14 Piast Gliwice 8 3 1 4 +0 10
15 Zaglebie 9 2 4 3 -4 10
16 Jagiellonia 8 2 3 3 -1 9
17 Legnica 8 1 2 5 -6 5
18 Lechia Gdansk 8 1 1 6 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Legia
Ivi López ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
29′
1–0 Ivi López ⚽
30′
38′
🟨 Mattias Johansson
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Sokołowski
↦ M. Baku
Fran Tudor 🟨
47′
Stratos Svarnas 🟨
52′
60′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ P. Wszołek
F. Piasecki 🔁
↦ V. Gutkovskis
61′
V. Kochergin 🔁
↦ S. Czyż
65′
68′
🟨 Bartosz Slisz
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ Ivi López
77′
B. Nowak 🔁
↦ M. Wdowiak
77′
79′
🔁 R. Pich
↦ Carlitos López
2–0 B. Nowak ⚽
S. Svarnas
79′
84′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ E. Muçi
84′
🔁 B. Kapustka
↦ B. Slisz
3–0 F. Piasecki ⚽
90′
4–0 B. Nowak ⚽
F. Piasecki
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 V. Kovačević G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
55 S. Czyż M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
23 P. Kun M
17 M. Wdowiak F
11 Ivi López F
21 V. Gutkovskis F
Bench (8)
99 F. Piasecki
30 V. Kochergin
9 S. Musiolik
27 B. Nowak
25 B. Racovițan
5 G. Berggren
12 K. Trelowski
71 W. Długosz

Coach: M. Papszun

Legia

4-2-3-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
6 M. Johansson D
8 R. Augustyniak D
17 M. Nawrocki D
25 F. Mladenović D
20 E. Muçi M
99 B. Slisz M
13 P. Wszołek M
27 Josué M
28 M. Baku M
19 Carlitos López F
Bench (9)
18 P. Sokołowski
39 M. Rosołek
11 R. Pich
9 B. Kramer
67 B. Kapustka
31 C. Miszta
29 L. Rose
5 Yuri Ribeiro
14 I. Kharatin

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

S Marciniak · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.