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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Girona
U S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Cadiz
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
75%
13%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,4
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 15. · Cadiz 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 8 7 1 0 +19 22
2 Real Madrid 8 7 1 0 +12 22
3 Ath Bilbao 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Ath Madrid 8 5 1 2 +7 16
5 Betis 8 5 1 2 +5 16
6 Sociedad 8 5 1 2 +2 16
7 Valencia 8 4 1 3 +6 13
8 Osasuna 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Villarreal 8 3 3 2 +7 12
10 Vallecano 9 3 2 4 -2 11
11 Celta 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Mallorca 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Valladolid 8 2 2 4 -7 8
14 Getafe 9 2 2 5 -8 8
15 Girona 8 2 1 5 -3 7
16 Almeria 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Espanol 8 1 3 4 -5 6
18 Sevilla 8 1 3 4 -6 6
19 Cadiz 8 1 2 5 -13 5
20 Elche 8 0 2 6 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Cadiz
5′
🟨 Rubén Sobrino
23′
🟨 Fede San Emeterio
Half-time 0–0
Aleix García 🟨
46′
46′
⚽ Álex 0–1
Álvaro Negredo
C. Stuani 🔁
↦ Javi Hernández
52′
Santiago Bueno 🟨
54′
59′
🔁 A. Lozano
↦ Álvaro Negredo
59′
🔁 José Mari
↦ Fede
60′
🔁 Zaldúa
↦ Isaac Carcelén
63′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
Arnau Martínez 🟨
64′
Valentin Castellanos 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 Juan Cala
↦ Alejo
75′
ℹ️ Juan Cala
VAR: Goal cancelled
Cristhian Stuani 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 B. Ocampo
↦ Álex
Toni Villa 🔁
↦ Y. Herrera
80′
Manu Vallejo 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Riquelme
80′
Valery 🔁
↦ Miguel Gutiérrez
87′
99′
🟨 Alfonso Espino
1–1 C. Stuani ⚽
102′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Girona

5-3-2
1 Juan Carlos G
4 Arnau Martínez D
22 S. Bueno D
2 B. Espinosa D
16 Javi Hernández D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
21 Y. Herrera M
18 Oriol Romeu M
14 Aleix García M
9 V. Castellanos F
17 Rodrigo Riquelme F
Bench (12)
7 C. Stuani
12 Toni Villa
25 Manu Vallejo
11 Valery
15 Juanpe
10 Samuel Sáiz
20 Yan Couto
13 P. Gazzaniga
23 Iván Martín
5 David López
8 Ramón Terrats
26 Toni Fuidias

Coach: Míchel

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Isaac Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
32 Víctor Chust D
22 A. Espino D
11 Alejo M
24 Fede M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
7 Sobrino M
8 Álex F
18 Álvaro Negredo F
Bench (12)
9 A. Lozano
6 José Mari
2 Zaldúa
16 Juan Cala
14 B. Ocampo
21 S. Arzamendia
15 Lucas Pérez
26 Victor Aznar
10 T. Bongonda
17 A. Mabil
3 Fali Jiménez
36 Antonio Blanco

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,32
B
4,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.